Campaign
World difficulty
Capital
—
Target this level
−1,500 pts
Better is not always more certain
The best-looking change is not always the best bet. With Ensured installed, each alternative is marked by whether its uncertainty range is narrower than (or as narrow as) the current one. Rough-ground reroutes often read higher but with much wider ranges.
Upgrades for this level
Capital —Calibrated probability
300 crShow a calibrated probability next to the raw model score.
Uncertainty intervals
500 crShow the lower and upper bound around every calibrated probability.
WHY? factual explanations
700 crSee which conditions push the calibrated probability up or down, each with its own uncertainty range.
Alternative explanations
800 crSee how the probability and its range would change under other conditions, and carry out the ones that are real actions.
Ensured explanationsRequired
700 crMark alternatives whose uncertainty is no wider than the current prediction's, and filter to those.