Campaign
World difficulty
Capital
—
Target this level
−2,000 pts
Is the explanation plausible?
A new "unmapped shortcut" keeps appearing as the best option. Try a few missions with the plausibility guard off, then switch it on and compare.
Upgrades for this level
Capital —Calibrated probability
300 crShow a calibrated probability next to the raw model score.
Uncertainty intervals
500 crShow the lower and upper bound around every calibrated probability.
WHY? factual explanations
700 crSee which conditions push the calibrated probability up or down, each with its own uncertainty range.
Alternative explanations
800 crSee how the probability and its range would change under other conditions, and carry out the ones that are real actions.
Guarded explanationsRequired
700 crFilter explanation candidates whose hypothetical situation is poorly supported by the reference data.